Chesapeake Bay & Atlantic Weather
Watches/Warnings
Current Watches, Warnings, and Alerts
Current Analysis
Baltimore/Washington Area Forecast Discussion
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
931 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS…
Well below normal temperatures continue through Wednesday
morning as high pressure builds south of the region. A potent
area of low pressure will drag a strong cold front across the
area Wednesday night into Thursday. This brings mountain snow,
strong gusty winds, and colder temperatures to the area. High
pressure returns Friday into the weekend, which will bring a
gradual warming trend back towards normal temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/…
Visible satellite as of mid morning shows a few rogue patches of
stratus across the piedmont, with more solid overcast along and
west of the Allegheny Front. Scattered snow showers were dropping
into western MD resulting in a quick coating in spots. This
activity should diminish through midday.
In the wake of a potent upper trough, which is pushing offshore
today, northwest winds will pick up a bit compared to the past
few days. Heights rise a bit today as an upper ridge begins to
push east towards the region. Additionally, strong surface high
pressure pushes through the TN River valley today and nearly
overhead tonight. This will lead to slightly warmer temperatures
today, though still below average. Winds gusting to around 20
to 25 mph will have it feeling like the low 30s for most (single
digits to low teens on the ridges).
Winds will drop off markedly overnight as high pressure moves
overhead. With clear skies accompanying the light winds, still
setting up to be the coldest night of this stretch with
widespread lows in the teens to low 20s. Rural portions of the
VA Piedmont and sheltered valleys west of the Blue Ridge likely
drop into the low to mid teens tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/…
The aforementioned upper-level ridge will be overhead on Wednesday
while high pressure pushes offshore. This will result in temps in
the mid 40s (30s in the mountains). For much of the day, winds
will remain light and turn out of the southwest ahead of an
approaching frontal system.
Looking upstream on Wednesday, a powerful upper-level trough
digs south out of central Canada late in the day into Wednesday
evening. The surface reflection of this upper-level system will
push a very strong cold front through the region Wednesday
night into Thursday. The increasing pressure gradient across the
Mid-Atlantic becomes noticeable by Wednesday afternoon as WAA
allows stronger winds aloft to begin mixing down to the surface.
South-southwest winds sustained at 10-15mph gusting 20-25 mph
are expected Wednesday afternoon, increasing to 25-30 mph gusts
Wednesday night. For the mountains, much stronger winds are
becoming increasingly likely, with Wind Advisories likely
starting Wednesday evening and continuing into the first half of
Thursday. High Wind Watches may be needed. One caveat is that the
winds may not quite be aligned with height, meaning there is
about a 20 to 30 degree directional change from the surface to
about 5 km. This could prevent those strongest values from
making it down. That being said, still forecasting peak gusts of
40 to 50 mph, with high end gusts up to 55-60 mph possible
along the highest ridges of the Alleghenies and Blue Ridge/
Catoctin Mountains.
Now for the precipitation side of the storm, which begins to
move into the area late Wednesday evening, ahead of a rapidly
advancing cold front. It likely is snow in the mountains and a
mix of rain/snow to the east, at least at the onset. The models
indicate strong CAA in the 850-925 mb layer Wednesday night,
that should allow precipitation to quickly transition to all
snow for most of the area after 12AM to 3AM Thursday morning.
The surface temperature forecast becomes a bit tricky at this
point, and will be critical for any potential impacts from any
light accumulating snowfall Thursday morning. Currently the most
likely areas that see temps drop to/below freezing are along
and west of US-15. Most recent model guidance hints at some
heavier elements making it far enough east to potentially be an
issue for the Thursday morning commute. Have maintained some
light accumulations all the way to the metro areas. Thinking
that with such a powerful front and upper-level forcing, that
there will be a few streamers that cause some issues across the
region. Temperatures will be marginal at this time (mid 30s or
so), but could still see a few issues on roads under any
moderate to heavy elements. All that being said, not looking at
much in terms of total accumulation outside of the mountains.
Current forecast calls for a trace to half an inch being the
most likely scenario and mostly on grassy surfaces.
In the mountains, things continue to trend snowier with each
run, so amounts have come up a good bit with this package. Very
cold air, and a deep moisture connection to the Great Lakes will
set the stage for a prime snow squall setup along the Allegheny
Front. Forecast snow amounts between Wednesday night and Thursday
morning are between 3 and 6 inches with potentially higher
amounts up to around 8 inches along the western-facing slopes
above 2500 feet.
One final aspect of this system to consider is the winds paired
with the snow, especially early Thursday morning. With an air
mass this cold, the snow/liquid ratios are going to be very
high, leading to a fine, powdery snow. This paired with the
aforementioned wind gusts could lead to whiteout conditions at
times. It will be treacherous to travel in the mountains
Thursday morning. This will likely even continue to be an issue
later in the day, even after the snowfall ends. With potentially
several inches of powdery snow on the ground, snow is likely to
blow around throughout the day, covering roads that have been
plowed and reducing visibilities.
Highs on Thursday afternoon outside of the mountains should be
in the 30s to low 40s for most, with sunny conditions returning
by late morning/early afternoon. Strong winds continuing
throughout the day will result in wind chills in the 20s for
most (single digits in the mountains).
As we move into Thursday night, cold air rushes into the region,
resulting in lows in the 20s (teens in the mountains). Winds
remain quite strong even overnight, so wind chills are going to
be the coldest of the season. For areas east of the Blue Ridge,
wind chills will drop into the teens. Further west, wind chills
drop into the single digits along and west of the Blue Ridge,
and even well into the negative single digits along the ridges.
Cold Weather headlines are possible in the mountains during
this time. Given the possibility of power outages from the
strong winds, it is important to make preparations now ahead of
this event and be prepared to find a way to stay warm.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/…
To finish out the work week, longwave troughing persists across
eastern sections of North America. The system from Thursday will
have already pushed into the province of New Brunswick in Canada by
Friday morning. This carries a sub-976 mb surface low farther into
the Canadian Maritimes while a strong anticyclone settles over the
Ozarks region. The net gradient formed by this 60 mb pressure
difference from Arkansas/Missouri to eastern Canada will maintain a
blustery environment across the local area. Forecast soundings show
mixing up to around 800-mb within the deep-layered northwesterly
flow. While winds at the top of the mixed layer decrease relative to
the previous day, gusts of 20 to 30 mph are possible as this higher
momentum air mixes to the surface. Forecast highs stay in the 30s
with a few spots hitting the 40 degree mark. The usual cold spot
will be in the mountains where teens to 20s are more likely. Adding
the wind to the mix should carry wind chills into the single digits,
with 20s to near freezing outside the mountains.
Although the Canadian high ends up southwest of the region, there
should be enough influence to help diminish winds some into the
night. Forecast lows drop into the 10 to 20 degree range, locally up
to 25 degrees along milder spots of the I-95 corridor. Winds remain
somewhat elevated along the Alleghenies which will carry wind chills
to around 0 degrees.
Northwesterly flow aloft continues into Saturday with models
trending toward a mostly dry day. The exception is the Allegheny
Front where some upslope snow showers are possible through the day.
Otherwise, expect a mix of clouds and sun across the remainder of
the area with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. A slow, but steady
warming trend ensues into subsequent days as heights build. Daily
temperatures push to near climatology by Sunday before low 50s
return to the forecast on Monday. This does come with increasing
rain chances as a southern stream system approaches from the
southwest. However, believe models are somewhat overdone with this
given the level of uncertainty. Thus, opted to cap the chances for
showers at around 50 percent.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/…
VFR conditions are expected through Wednesday. Expecting breezy
Northwest winds gusting to around 20 to 25 knots this
afternoon. Winds then taper off overnight as high pressure moves
overhead and eventually offshore. This will turn winds out of
the S/SW heading into Wednesday.
A strong area of low pressure approaches the area late Wednesday
into Thursday, causing winds to increase once again, with gusts
of 20-25 knots out of the SSW likely Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night.
The significant wind surge comes along and behind the cold front
into Thursday morning. Winds will quickly shift out of the WNW
between 09z and 13z Thursday and increase to around 35 to 45
knots. Some snow is also possible on Thursday morning at all
terminals, especially at MRB, IAD, DCA, BWI, and MTN. CHO may be
a bit too far south to get any snow, but can't completely rule
it out. There are even some indications that some streamers
could even drop some brief heavier snow in isolated spots.
Should one of these move over a terminal, could certainly result
in issues with VSBY and runway conditions, albeit briefly.
A dry forecast is in store for the terminals on Friday and Saturday
which will support VFR conditions. Blustery winds do persist on
Friday as a deep area of low pressure inhabits the Canadian
Maritimes. Northwesterly gusts during the afternoon could push to
around 25 knots before decreasing into the evening and night. Winds
shift to west-southwesterly by Saturday with gusts topping out
between 10 and 15 knots.
&&
.MARINE…
For now, marine headlines remain unchanged in regards to winds
today and the system late Wednesday into Thursday.
Gusty northwest winds are expected to continue across all the waters
through this evening before tapering off overnight as high
pressure approaches. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for
all the waters through just after midnight.
Winds drop below SCA conditions for a brief time period Wednesday
morning, then begin to increase substantially on Wednesday
afternoon as a strong area of low pressure approaches the
region. SCA conditions begin again Wednesday afternoon, with
south-southwest gusts of 20-25 knots likely, then increasing to
25-30 knots over most of the waters Wednesday night. Some gusts
to near gale force, around 35 knots, are possible over the open
waters of the bay. Do think the best chance for Gale-force
winds comes on Thursday as winds turn out of the NW as cold air
rushes in behind the aforementioned cold front. SCAs will
certainly be needed into Thursday night, but still not sure if
Gale conditions continue that long. For that reason, did not
decide to extend the Gale Watch at this time, but that may be
necessary at a later time.
A blustery northwesterly wind continues through Friday across the
area waterways. Southern portions of the Chesapeake Bay could near
gale force on Friday morning, but expect largely 25 to 30 knot
gusts. Winds do slowly decrease through the day with Small Craft
Advisories likely required through Friday evening, possibly into the
night for the southern Chesapeake Bay. Winds shift to west-
southwesterly as high pressure passes by to the southwest. Gusts
could near 20 knots at times, but confidence is low at this
time.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
The main period of interest will be Wednesday evening into Thursday
as a powerful cold front pushes across the area. Expect a marked
increase in water levels ahead of this system. This places a few of
the more sensitive locations into Action around the time of high
tide. In the wake of this boundary, a blustery westerly wind will
quickly lower water levels. Further drops are possible on Friday as
winds turn more northwesterly. During this phase on Thursday and
Friday, there is some potential for blowout tides.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
DC…None.
MD…Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for MDZ008.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday
for MDZ008.
Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
MDZ008.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
afternoon for MDZ001.
VA…None.
WV…Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
afternoon for WVZ501.
MARINE…Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
ANZ530>532-538>540.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday
for ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542.
Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ533-534-
537-541>543.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday for
ANZ534-537-543.
Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening for
ANZ534-537-543.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ535-
536.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS…DHOF/CJL
NEAR TERM…DHOF/CJL
SHORT TERM…DHOF/CJL/KRR
LONG TERM…BRO
AVIATION…BRO/DHOF/CJL/KRR
MARINE…BRO/DHOF/CJL/KRR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…BRO
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
931 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS…
Well below normal temperatures continue through Wednesday
morning as high pressure builds south of the region. A potent
area of low pressure will drag a strong cold front across the
area Wednesday night into Thursday. This brings mountain snow,
strong gusty winds, and colder temperatures to the area. High
pressure returns Friday into the weekend, which will bring a
gradual warming trend back towards normal temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/…
Visible satellite as of mid morning shows a few rogue patches of
stratus across the piedmont, with more solid overcast along and
west of the Allegheny Front. Scattered snow showers were dropping
into western MD resulting in a quick coating in spots. This
activity should diminish through midday.
In the wake of a potent upper trough, which is pushing offshore
today, northwest winds will pick up a bit compared to the past
few days. Heights rise a bit today as an upper ridge begins to
push east towards the region. Additionally, strong surface high
pressure pushes through the TN River valley today and nearly
overhead tonight. This will lead to slightly warmer temperatures
today, though still below average. Winds gusting to around 20
to 25 mph will have it feeling like the low 30s for most (single
digits to low teens on the ridges).
Winds will drop off markedly overnight as high pressure moves
overhead. With clear skies accompanying the light winds, still
setting up to be the coldest night of this stretch with
widespread lows in the teens to low 20s. Rural portions of the
VA Piedmont and sheltered valleys west of the Blue Ridge likely
drop into the low to mid teens tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/…
The aforementioned upper-level ridge will be overhead on Wednesday
while high pressure pushes offshore. This will result in temps in
the mid 40s (30s in the mountains). For much of the day, winds
will remain light and turn out of the southwest ahead of an
approaching frontal system.
Looking upstream on Wednesday, a powerful upper-level trough
digs south out of central Canada late in the day into Wednesday
evening. The surface reflection of this upper-level system will
push a very strong cold front through the region Wednesday
night into Thursday. The increasing pressure gradient across the
Mid-Atlantic becomes noticeable by Wednesday afternoon as WAA
allows stronger winds aloft to begin mixing down to the surface.
South-southwest winds sustained at 10-15mph gusting 20-25 mph
are expected Wednesday afternoon, increasing to 25-30 mph gusts
Wednesday night. For the mountains, much stronger winds are
becoming increasingly likely, with Wind Advisories likely
starting Wednesday evening and continuing into the first half of
Thursday. High Wind Watches may be needed. One caveat is that the
winds may not quite be aligned with height, meaning there is
about a 20 to 30 degree directional change from the surface to
about 5 km. This could prevent those strongest values from
making it down. That being said, still forecasting peak gusts of
40 to 50 mph, with high end gusts up to 55-60 mph possible
along the highest ridges of the Alleghenies and Blue Ridge/
Catoctin Mountains.
Now for the precipitation side of the storm, which begins to
move into the area late Wednesday evening, ahead of a rapidly
advancing cold front. It likely is snow in the mountains and a
mix of rain/snow to the east, at least at the onset. The models
indicate strong CAA in the 850-925 mb layer Wednesday night,
that should allow precipitation to quickly transition to all
snow for most of the area after 12AM to 3AM Thursday morning.
The surface temperature forecast becomes a bit tricky at this
point, and will be critical for any potential impacts from any
light accumulating snowfall Thursday morning. Currently the most
likely areas that see temps drop to/below freezing are along
and west of US-15. Most recent model guidance hints at some
heavier elements making it far enough east to potentially be an
issue for the Thursday morning commute. Have maintained some
light accumulations all the way to the metro areas. Thinking
that with such a powerful front and upper-level forcing, that
there will be a few streamers that cause some issues across the
region. Temperatures will be marginal at this time (mid 30s or
so), but could still see a few issues on roads under any
moderate to heavy elements. All that being said, not looking at
much in terms of total accumulation outside of the mountains.
Current forecast calls for a trace to half an inch being the
most likely scenario and mostly on grassy surfaces.
In the mountains, things continue to trend snowier with each
run, so amounts have come up a good bit with this package. Very
cold air, and a deep moisture connection to the Great Lakes will
set the stage for a prime snow squall setup along the Allegheny
Front. Forecast snow amounts between Wednesday night and Thursday
morning are between 3 and 6 inches with potentially higher
amounts up to around 8 inches along the western-facing slopes
above 2500 feet.
One final aspect of this system to consider is the winds paired
with the snow, especially early Thursday morning. With an air
mass this cold, the snow/liquid ratios are going to be very
high, leading to a fine, powdery snow. This paired with the
aforementioned wind gusts could lead to whiteout conditions at
times. It will be treacherous to travel in the mountains
Thursday morning. This will likely even continue to be an issue
later in the day, even after the snowfall ends. With potentially
several inches of powdery snow on the ground, snow is likely to
blow around throughout the day, covering roads that have been
plowed and reducing visibilities.
Highs on Thursday afternoon outside of the mountains should be
in the 30s to low 40s for most, with sunny conditions returning
by late morning/early afternoon. Strong winds continuing
throughout the day will result in wind chills in the 20s for
most (single digits in the mountains).
As we move into Thursday night, cold air rushes into the region,
resulting in lows in the 20s (teens in the mountains). Winds
remain quite strong even overnight, so wind chills are going to
be the coldest of the season. For areas east of the Blue Ridge,
wind chills will drop into the teens. Further west, wind chills
drop into the single digits along and west of the Blue Ridge,
and even well into the negative single digits along the ridges.
Cold Weather headlines are possible in the mountains during
this time. Given the possibility of power outages from the
strong winds, it is important to make preparations now ahead of
this event and be prepared to find a way to stay warm.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/…
To finish out the work week, longwave troughing persists across
eastern sections of North America. The system from Thursday will
have already pushed into the province of New Brunswick in Canada by
Friday morning. This carries a sub-976 mb surface low farther into
the Canadian Maritimes while a strong anticyclone settles over the
Ozarks region. The net gradient formed by this 60 mb pressure
difference from Arkansas/Missouri to eastern Canada will maintain a
blustery environment across the local area. Forecast soundings show
mixing up to around 800-mb within the deep-layered northwesterly
flow. While winds at the top of the mixed layer decrease relative to
the previous day, gusts of 20 to 30 mph are possible as this higher
momentum air mixes to the surface. Forecast highs stay in the 30s
with a few spots hitting the 40 degree mark. The usual cold spot
will be in the mountains where teens to 20s are more likely. Adding
the wind to the mix should carry wind chills into the single digits,
with 20s to near freezing outside the mountains.
Although the Canadian high ends up southwest of the region, there
should be enough influence to help diminish winds some into the
night. Forecast lows drop into the 10 to 20 degree range, locally up
to 25 degrees along milder spots of the I-95 corridor. Winds remain
somewhat elevated along the Alleghenies which will carry wind chills
to around 0 degrees.
Northwesterly flow aloft continues into Saturday with models
trending toward a mostly dry day. The exception is the Allegheny
Front where some upslope snow showers are possible through the day.
Otherwise, expect a mix of clouds and sun across the remainder of
the area with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. A slow, but steady
warming trend ensues into subsequent days as heights build. Daily
temperatures push to near climatology by Sunday before low 50s
return to the forecast on Monday. This does come with increasing
rain chances as a southern stream system approaches from the
southwest. However, believe models are somewhat overdone with this
given the level of uncertainty. Thus, opted to cap the chances for
showers at around 50 percent.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/…
VFR conditions are expected through Wednesday. Expecting breezy
Northwest winds gusting to around 20 to 25 knots this
afternoon. Winds then taper off overnight as high pressure moves
overhead and eventually offshore. This will turn winds out of
the S/SW heading into Wednesday.
A strong area of low pressure approaches the area late Wednesday
into Thursday, causing winds to increase once again, with gusts
of 20-25 knots out of the SSW likely Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday night.
The significant wind surge comes along and behind the cold front
into Thursday morning. Winds will quickly shift out of the WNW
between 09z and 13z Thursday and increase to around 35 to 45
knots. Some snow is also possible on Thursday morning at all
terminals, especially at MRB, IAD, DCA, BWI, and MTN. CHO may be
a bit too far south to get any snow, but can't completely rule
it out. There are even some indications that some streamers
could even drop some brief heavier snow in isolated spots.
Should one of these move over a terminal, could certainly result
in issues with VSBY and runway conditions, albeit briefly.
A dry forecast is in store for the terminals on Friday and Saturday
which will support VFR conditions. Blustery winds do persist on
Friday as a deep area of low pressure inhabits the Canadian
Maritimes. Northwesterly gusts during the afternoon could push to
around 25 knots before decreasing into the evening and night. Winds
shift to west-southwesterly by Saturday with gusts topping out
between 10 and 15 knots.
&&
.MARINE…
For now, marine headlines remain unchanged in regards to winds
today and the system late Wednesday into Thursday.
Gusty northwest winds are expected to continue across all the waters
through this evening before tapering off overnight as high
pressure approaches. Small Craft Advisories are in effect for
all the waters through just after midnight.
Winds drop below SCA conditions for a brief time period Wednesday
morning, then begin to increase substantially on Wednesday
afternoon as a strong area of low pressure approaches the
region. SCA conditions begin again Wednesday afternoon, with
south-southwest gusts of 20-25 knots likely, then increasing to
25-30 knots over most of the waters Wednesday night. Some gusts
to near gale force, around 35 knots, are possible over the open
waters of the bay. Do think the best chance for Gale-force
winds comes on Thursday as winds turn out of the NW as cold air
rushes in behind the aforementioned cold front. SCAs will
certainly be needed into Thursday night, but still not sure if
Gale conditions continue that long. For that reason, did not
decide to extend the Gale Watch at this time, but that may be
necessary at a later time.
A blustery northwesterly wind continues through Friday across the
area waterways. Southern portions of the Chesapeake Bay could near
gale force on Friday morning, but expect largely 25 to 30 knot
gusts. Winds do slowly decrease through the day with Small Craft
Advisories likely required through Friday evening, possibly into the
night for the southern Chesapeake Bay. Winds shift to west-
southwesterly as high pressure passes by to the southwest. Gusts
could near 20 knots at times, but confidence is low at this
time.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
The main period of interest will be Wednesday evening into Thursday
as a powerful cold front pushes across the area. Expect a marked
increase in water levels ahead of this system. This places a few of
the more sensitive locations into Action around the time of high
tide. In the wake of this boundary, a blustery westerly wind will
quickly lower water levels. Further drops are possible on Friday as
winds turn more northwesterly. During this phase on Thursday and
Friday, there is some potential for blowout tides.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
DC…None.
MD…Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for MDZ008.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday
for MDZ008.
Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
MDZ008.
Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
afternoon for MDZ001.
VA…None.
WV…Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
afternoon for WVZ501.
MARINE…Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
ANZ530>532-538>540.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM Wednesday to 7 AM EST Thursday
for ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542.
Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Thursday evening for
ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ533-534-
537-541>543.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday for
ANZ534-537-543.
Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening for
ANZ534-537-543.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ535-
536.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS…DHOF/CJL
NEAR TERM…DHOF/CJL
SHORT TERM…DHOF/CJL/KRR
LONG TERM…BRO
AVIATION…BRO/DHOF/CJL/KRR
MARINE…BRO/DHOF/CJL/KRR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…BRO
Wakefield Area Forecast Discussion
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
719 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS…
The cold pattern continues into this weekend with most of the region
remaining dry. A few light showers are possible Thursday
morning across the Northern Neck and Eastern Shore. Otherwise,
remaining dry through this weekend with rain chances arriving
early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/…
As of 330 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Cold and dry again today/tonight.
The latest WX analysis indicates an upper level trough across
eastern North America, with low pressure across Atlantic
Canada, and a weaker sfc low analyzed across SC. This weaker
system to our S is associated with shortwave energy passing by
to our S. Locally, some mid level clouds are pushing through the
region, but all precip remains S of the CWA. Upstream, strong
sfc high pressure (1035mb+) is centered from the central/northern
Plains to the mid MS Valley. This shortwave will push to the NC
coast and move offshore after 12Z/7am. Partly to mostly cloudy
conditions across southern VA and NE NC will persist for a few
more hrs, before clearing around sunrise. Temperatures have
risen a few degrees over the past few hrs with these clouds, but
may drop off as we approach sunrise, with lows from the upper
teens to lower 20s inland (locally warmer in urban areas) and
20s to around 30F along the coast.
Cold, dry weather continues today, despite a mainly sunny sky
after any clouds early. It will be somewhat breezy with gusts to
15-20mph through mid aftn since the sfc high will remain well
off to our W today. Highs will range from around 40F across the
NW to the low-mid 40s elsewhere (about 10-15F below normal).
High pressure builds in later tonight, bringing diminishing
winds and a clear sky. It may stay mixed enough across the
eastern 1/2 of the CWA to keep lows slightly warmer, but
nevertheless, lows will be very cold, generally in the upper
teens to lower 20s, with mid- upper 20s near the coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/…
As of 345 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Moderating temperatures Wednesday-early Thursday, turning
sharply colder and blustery later Thursday.
– SW winds become breezy Wednesday afternoon, Wednesday night,
shifting to the WNW and remaining strong and gusty Thursday.
– A few light rain showers are possible across the Northern
Neck and Eastern Shore Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
High pressure slides off the Southeast coast on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, a strong clipper system quickly moves across the
Great Lakes and into New England Wednesday night into Thursday.
While this system remains far enough N where most impacts remain
outside of the FA, the pressure gradient tightens between that
low and a strong area of high pressure building in from the SW
behind it. This will allow for winds to become SW and breezy
with gusts up to 20- 25 mph Wednesday afternoon. Slightly
warmer Wed with highs in the mid-upper 40s. SW winds remain
breezy overnight Wednesday night ahead of an approaching cold
front, keeping lows milder, generally from the mid 30s to near
40F.
The latest model trends are for a slightly faster frontal
passage Thursday, perhaps enough to see a chc for rain showers
mixing with or ending as snow showers across the northern
Neck/eastern shore late Thursday morning. This system will still
be moisture starved (any QPF would be a trace to a few
hundredths). BUFKIT soundings show only a brief period where
there could be saturation above -10C for ice in the clouds and
anything more than sprinkles or flurries. Will maintain a slight
chc for rain showers early Thu to metro RIC, with any rain/snow
showers confined to the northern Neck and eastern shore by late
morning, ending after early aftn. The bigger story with this
system will be the winds, increasing behind the cold front
passage with gusts up to 30-40 mph, highest across the Eastern
Shore. Given the slightly earlier FROPA, highs Thu have trended
a bit cooler with temps now expected to rise only into the low-
mid 40s NW to the low-mid 50s NE NC, with temps likely to drop
during the aftn. Very cold air filters in Thursday night with
lows in the upper teens to lower 20s inland and mid- upper 20s
along the coast. Will note that winds are not expected to be
calm Thursday night with wind chills dropping into the teens
across the area, perhaps close to 10F inland.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/…
As of 415 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Temperatures remain cold Friday-Sat, a gradual warmup Sunday
into Monday.
– Rain chances increase by early next week.
Model consensus places strong sfc high pressure (~1035mb) in
the vicinity of the mid-MS Valley Friday morning, with intense
low pressure (<975mb) moving N through Atlantic Canada. While
less windy compared to Thursday, the pressure gradient will keep
breezy conditions going, especially for the eastern shore
(gusting to ~30 mph). Highs will only be into the lower 40s for
most, possibly struggling to get out of the upper 30s for
northern zones). Mostly sunny, but there will tend to be some
aftn clouds. especially across the NE as reinforcing shortwave
dives SE through the base of the upper trough. The sfc high
pressure builds E-SE Fri night into Sat, reaching closer to the
area for light winds and a mainly clear sky with another cold
night (lows 15-20F well inland and ranging through the 20s along
the coast). Latest LREF ensembles show some model spread, the
GEFS being faster and farther N and bringing the sfc high into
the area early Sat, while the ENS and GEPS are slower and
farther south. Towards the end of the weekend into early next
week, the GFS/GEFS suggest rain would be likely by Monday while
the other models keep things drier with stronger upper level
ridging across the SE CONUS. Will maintain a chance for showers
in the forecast Monday but will keep PoPs at or below 50% given
the model spread. Sunday turns milder with highs into the upper
40s to mid 50s, with highs Monday well into the 50s and perhaps
into the 60s if the ECMWF verifies.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/…
As of 700 AM EST Tuesday…
VFR today, a light NW wind will become N to NW 8-12kt later
this morning into the aftn under a mainly sunny sky.
VFR conditions prevail tonight through Saturday. The only
exception is a chc of showers early Thursday at SBY with a cold
front. SW winds increase and become gusty to 20-30kt late
Wed/Wed night. Later Thursday, the wind becomes WNW behind the
cold front with gusts up to 25-35 kt most areas, possibly as
high as ~40kt across the eastern shore. Diminishing winds
Thursday night, but remaining breezy, especially closer to the
coast and over the eastern shore. Less wind and mainly clear
later Fri through Sat.
&&
.MARINE…
As of 330 AM EDT Tuesday…
Key Messages…
– Marginal Small Craft conditions are possible across portions of
the Chesapeake Bay today.
– Much stronger winds are expected Wednesday night through Thursday
night in advance of and following a cold front. A long duration
period of sustained winds in excess of 25 kt with gusts in excess of
35 kt are likely for most of the area. Gale Watches remain in effect
for the Bay and coastal waters and have been added for the lower
James River and Currituck Sound.
Morning analysis shows strong (1036mb) surface high pressure over
the central CONUS as a trough aloft over New England moves away into
the Atlantic. NW winds on the western periphery of high pressure is
leading to winds 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt over the Ches Bay and
Atlantic coastal waters. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas
averaging 2-3 ft offshore.
Winds will hover near SCA thresholds today over portions of the Ches
Bay but recent hi-res guidance keeps winds just below criteria.
However, a short-fused SCA may be required if winds are even a tad
higher than currently forecast. High pressure builds toward the
region tonight and should make its closest approach around sunrise
on Wednesday, leading to a period where winds fall back to 5-10 kt.
Thereafter, high pressure is shunted to the S and SE ahead of strong
low pressure developing across the Great Lakes. The gradient
tightens considerably by late Wednesday afternoon with SW winds
increasing to 20-30 kt by the evening hours and 25-35 kt after
midnight. Wind probs continue to show a high probability of gale
conditions across the region Wednesday night through Thursday with
winds gradually becoming W and NW Thursday afternoon. Gusts will
likely exceed 40 kt for a substantial period of time over the
Atlantic coastal waters from late Wed evening through early Thursday
afternoon. Opted to add the lower James River and the Currituck
Sound to the ongoing Gale Watch. Confidence in gale conditions is
somewhat lower for the upper rivers but with a pressure fall/rise
couplet of 7-10mb/6hrs on both sides of the cold frontal passage,
suspect these waters will be added to the gale headlines in
subsequent forecasts. Winds are forecast to decrease later Thursday
afternoon into the evening but are expected to remain above SCA
thresholds through most of Friday before high pressure builds toward
the area and relaxes the pressure gradient.
Seas are forecast to build to 6-10 ft N and 4-7 ft S, with 3-5 ft
waves expected in the Ches Bay late Wednesday through Thursday.
Waves/seas will decrease on Friday but seas offshore likely remain
near/above 5 ft into early Friday evening.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
With the strong SW winds expected Wed night into Thurs morning,
there is increasing potential for blow out tides during the low tide
cycle early Thursday. Guidance has many lower bay sites and some
ocean sites dropping to at least -1.0 ft MLLW. These low water
levels could impact navigation in some areas Thu.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
MD…None.
NC…None.
VA…None.
MARINE…Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening for
ANZ630>634-638-654-656-658.
Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through late Thursday night
for ANZ650-652.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS…LKB
NEAR TERM…LKB
SHORT TERM…LKB
LONG TERM…LKB
AVIATION…AJZ/LKB
MARINE…RHR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
719 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS…
The cold pattern continues into this weekend with most of the region
remaining dry. A few light showers are possible Thursday
morning across the Northern Neck and Eastern Shore. Otherwise,
remaining dry through this weekend with rain chances arriving
early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/…
As of 330 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Cold and dry again today/tonight.
The latest WX analysis indicates an upper level trough across
eastern North America, with low pressure across Atlantic
Canada, and a weaker sfc low analyzed across SC. This weaker
system to our S is associated with shortwave energy passing by
to our S. Locally, some mid level clouds are pushing through the
region, but all precip remains S of the CWA. Upstream, strong
sfc high pressure (1035mb+) is centered from the central/northern
Plains to the mid MS Valley. This shortwave will push to the NC
coast and move offshore after 12Z/7am. Partly to mostly cloudy
conditions across southern VA and NE NC will persist for a few
more hrs, before clearing around sunrise. Temperatures have
risen a few degrees over the past few hrs with these clouds, but
may drop off as we approach sunrise, with lows from the upper
teens to lower 20s inland (locally warmer in urban areas) and
20s to around 30F along the coast.
Cold, dry weather continues today, despite a mainly sunny sky
after any clouds early. It will be somewhat breezy with gusts to
15-20mph through mid aftn since the sfc high will remain well
off to our W today. Highs will range from around 40F across the
NW to the low-mid 40s elsewhere (about 10-15F below normal).
High pressure builds in later tonight, bringing diminishing
winds and a clear sky. It may stay mixed enough across the
eastern 1/2 of the CWA to keep lows slightly warmer, but
nevertheless, lows will be very cold, generally in the upper
teens to lower 20s, with mid- upper 20s near the coast.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/…
As of 345 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Moderating temperatures Wednesday-early Thursday, turning
sharply colder and blustery later Thursday.
– SW winds become breezy Wednesday afternoon, Wednesday night,
shifting to the WNW and remaining strong and gusty Thursday.
– A few light rain showers are possible across the Northern
Neck and Eastern Shore Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
High pressure slides off the Southeast coast on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, a strong clipper system quickly moves across the
Great Lakes and into New England Wednesday night into Thursday.
While this system remains far enough N where most impacts remain
outside of the FA, the pressure gradient tightens between that
low and a strong area of high pressure building in from the SW
behind it. This will allow for winds to become SW and breezy
with gusts up to 20- 25 mph Wednesday afternoon. Slightly
warmer Wed with highs in the mid-upper 40s. SW winds remain
breezy overnight Wednesday night ahead of an approaching cold
front, keeping lows milder, generally from the mid 30s to near
40F.
The latest model trends are for a slightly faster frontal
passage Thursday, perhaps enough to see a chc for rain showers
mixing with or ending as snow showers across the northern
Neck/eastern shore late Thursday morning. This system will still
be moisture starved (any QPF would be a trace to a few
hundredths). BUFKIT soundings show only a brief period where
there could be saturation above -10C for ice in the clouds and
anything more than sprinkles or flurries. Will maintain a slight
chc for rain showers early Thu to metro RIC, with any rain/snow
showers confined to the northern Neck and eastern shore by late
morning, ending after early aftn. The bigger story with this
system will be the winds, increasing behind the cold front
passage with gusts up to 30-40 mph, highest across the Eastern
Shore. Given the slightly earlier FROPA, highs Thu have trended
a bit cooler with temps now expected to rise only into the low-
mid 40s NW to the low-mid 50s NE NC, with temps likely to drop
during the aftn. Very cold air filters in Thursday night with
lows in the upper teens to lower 20s inland and mid- upper 20s
along the coast. Will note that winds are not expected to be
calm Thursday night with wind chills dropping into the teens
across the area, perhaps close to 10F inland.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/…
As of 415 AM EST Tuesday…
Key Messages:
– Temperatures remain cold Friday-Sat, a gradual warmup Sunday
into Monday.
– Rain chances increase by early next week.
Model consensus places strong sfc high pressure (~1035mb) in
the vicinity of the mid-MS Valley Friday morning, with intense
low pressure (<975mb) moving N through Atlantic Canada. While
less windy compared to Thursday, the pressure gradient will keep
breezy conditions going, especially for the eastern shore
(gusting to ~30 mph). Highs will only be into the lower 40s for
most, possibly struggling to get out of the upper 30s for
northern zones). Mostly sunny, but there will tend to be some
aftn clouds. especially across the NE as reinforcing shortwave
dives SE through the base of the upper trough. The sfc high
pressure builds E-SE Fri night into Sat, reaching closer to the
area for light winds and a mainly clear sky with another cold
night (lows 15-20F well inland and ranging through the 20s along
the coast). Latest LREF ensembles show some model spread, the
GEFS being faster and farther N and bringing the sfc high into
the area early Sat, while the ENS and GEPS are slower and
farther south. Towards the end of the weekend into early next
week, the GFS/GEFS suggest rain would be likely by Monday while
the other models keep things drier with stronger upper level
ridging across the SE CONUS. Will maintain a chance for showers
in the forecast Monday but will keep PoPs at or below 50% given
the model spread. Sunday turns milder with highs into the upper
40s to mid 50s, with highs Monday well into the 50s and perhaps
into the 60s if the ECMWF verifies.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/…
As of 700 AM EST Tuesday…
VFR today, a light NW wind will become N to NW 8-12kt later
this morning into the aftn under a mainly sunny sky.
VFR conditions prevail tonight through Saturday. The only
exception is a chc of showers early Thursday at SBY with a cold
front. SW winds increase and become gusty to 20-30kt late
Wed/Wed night. Later Thursday, the wind becomes WNW behind the
cold front with gusts up to 25-35 kt most areas, possibly as
high as ~40kt across the eastern shore. Diminishing winds
Thursday night, but remaining breezy, especially closer to the
coast and over the eastern shore. Less wind and mainly clear
later Fri through Sat.
&&
.MARINE…
As of 330 AM EDT Tuesday…
Key Messages…
– Marginal Small Craft conditions are possible across portions of
the Chesapeake Bay today.
– Much stronger winds are expected Wednesday night through Thursday
night in advance of and following a cold front. A long duration
period of sustained winds in excess of 25 kt with gusts in excess of
35 kt are likely for most of the area. Gale Watches remain in effect
for the Bay and coastal waters and have been added for the lower
James River and Currituck Sound.
Morning analysis shows strong (1036mb) surface high pressure over
the central CONUS as a trough aloft over New England moves away into
the Atlantic. NW winds on the western periphery of high pressure is
leading to winds 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt over the Ches Bay and
Atlantic coastal waters. Waves in the bay are 1-2 ft with seas
averaging 2-3 ft offshore.
Winds will hover near SCA thresholds today over portions of the Ches
Bay but recent hi-res guidance keeps winds just below criteria.
However, a short-fused SCA may be required if winds are even a tad
higher than currently forecast. High pressure builds toward the
region tonight and should make its closest approach around sunrise
on Wednesday, leading to a period where winds fall back to 5-10 kt.
Thereafter, high pressure is shunted to the S and SE ahead of strong
low pressure developing across the Great Lakes. The gradient
tightens considerably by late Wednesday afternoon with SW winds
increasing to 20-30 kt by the evening hours and 25-35 kt after
midnight. Wind probs continue to show a high probability of gale
conditions across the region Wednesday night through Thursday with
winds gradually becoming W and NW Thursday afternoon. Gusts will
likely exceed 40 kt for a substantial period of time over the
Atlantic coastal waters from late Wed evening through early Thursday
afternoon. Opted to add the lower James River and the Currituck
Sound to the ongoing Gale Watch. Confidence in gale conditions is
somewhat lower for the upper rivers but with a pressure fall/rise
couplet of 7-10mb/6hrs on both sides of the cold frontal passage,
suspect these waters will be added to the gale headlines in
subsequent forecasts. Winds are forecast to decrease later Thursday
afternoon into the evening but are expected to remain above SCA
thresholds through most of Friday before high pressure builds toward
the area and relaxes the pressure gradient.
Seas are forecast to build to 6-10 ft N and 4-7 ft S, with 3-5 ft
waves expected in the Ches Bay late Wednesday through Thursday.
Waves/seas will decrease on Friday but seas offshore likely remain
near/above 5 ft into early Friday evening.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
With the strong SW winds expected Wed night into Thurs morning,
there is increasing potential for blow out tides during the low tide
cycle early Thursday. Guidance has many lower bay sites and some
ocean sites dropping to at least -1.0 ft MLLW. These low water
levels could impact navigation in some areas Thu.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
MD…None.
NC…None.
VA…None.
MARINE…Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening for
ANZ630>634-638-654-656-658.
Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through late Thursday night
for ANZ650-652.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS…LKB
NEAR TERM…LKB
SHORT TERM…LKB
LONG TERM…LKB
AVIATION…AJZ/LKB
MARINE…RHR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING…
Latest Local METARS
Dover AFB, DE, US
KDOV 031555Z AUTO 28013KT 10SM CLR 04/M06 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP271 T00391064
Washington/Reagan-National Arpt, VA, US
KDCA 031552Z 33012G21KT 10SM SCT075 03/M08 A3039 RMK AO2 SLP291 T00281083
Baltimore-Washington Intl, MD, US
KBWI 031554Z 29010G20KT 10SM FEW040 FEW070 04/M07 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP282 T00391072 $
Melfa/Accomack Cnty, VA, US
KMFV 031635Z AUTO 32011G17KT 300V360 10SM SCT027 03/M05 A3036 RMK AO2 T00301046
Norfolk Intl, VA, US
KORF 031551Z 36007G14KT 10SM CLR 04/M06 A3038 RMK AO2 SLP287 T00441061
Oceana(NAS), VA, US
KNTU 031556Z 33014KT 10SM FEW040 04/M03 A3037 RMK AO2 SLP287 T00441033
Ocean City Muni, MD, US
KOXB 031553Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM CLR 04/M05 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP276 T00441050
Hatteras/Mitchell Fld, NC, US
KHSE 031551Z AUTO VRB06KT 10SM CLR 06/M03 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP271 T00611033 $
KDOV 031555Z AUTO 28013KT 10SM CLR 04/M06 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP271 T00391064
Washington/Reagan-National Arpt, VA, US
KDCA 031552Z 33012G21KT 10SM SCT075 03/M08 A3039 RMK AO2 SLP291 T00281083
Baltimore-Washington Intl, MD, US
KBWI 031554Z 29010G20KT 10SM FEW040 FEW070 04/M07 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP282 T00391072 $
Melfa/Accomack Cnty, VA, US
KMFV 031635Z AUTO 32011G17KT 300V360 10SM SCT027 03/M05 A3036 RMK AO2 T00301046
Norfolk Intl, VA, US
KORF 031551Z 36007G14KT 10SM CLR 04/M06 A3038 RMK AO2 SLP287 T00441061
Oceana(NAS), VA, US
KNTU 031556Z 33014KT 10SM FEW040 04/M03 A3037 RMK AO2 SLP287 T00441033
Ocean City Muni, MD, US
KOXB 031553Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM CLR 04/M05 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP276 T00441050
Hatteras/Mitchell Fld, NC, US
KHSE 031551Z AUTO VRB06KT 10SM CLR 06/M03 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP271 T00611033 $
Pressure/Height Anomalies
500mb
MSLP
WPC Short-Term Prog Charts – Surface
6 Hr |
12 Hr |
18 Hr |
24 Hr |
30 Hr |
36 Hr |
48 Hr |
60 Hr |
WPC Short Term Forecast (new)
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
253 AM EST Tue Dec 03 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Dec 03 2024 – 12Z Thu Dec 05 2024
…Heavy snow for the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern
Lower Peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday…
…Lake-effect and lake-enhanced snow downwind from Lakes Erie and
Ontario on Tuesday and Wednesday; Moderate to heavy snow over
parts of Northern New England; light to moderate snow over parts
of the Central Appalachians on Wednesday…
…Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees below average over parts
of the Ohio Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Southeast…
On Tuesday, high pressure over the Middle Mississippi Valley will
slowly move southeastward off the Southeast Coast by Wednesday
night. The high pressure will create cold temperatures over parts
of the Ohio Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Southeast, bringing
temperatures of 10 to 15 degrees below average.
Meanwhile, low pressure over West-Central Canada will move
southeastward to Quebec, Canada, by Thursday. The storm will
produce heavy snow over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the
northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan through Thursday. Moreover,
lake-effect snow will continue downwind from Lakes Erie and
Ontario on Tuesday. Them on Wednesday, moderate to heavy
lake-enhanced snow develops downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario
through Thursday.
Furthermore, light snow will develop over parts of the Northern
Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley Tuesday through Thursday.
Moreover, as the front moves over the Ohio Valley into the
Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, light to moderate snow will develop over
parts of the Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians on Wednesday
into Thursday. Additionally, moderate to heavy snow will develop
over parts of Northern New England on Wednesday. Light to moderate
snow will develop over other parts of Southern New England and the
Northeast. Rain will also develop over the coastal parts of New
England.
Moreover, weak return flow off the Gulf of Mexico will create
scattered showers and thunderstorms over parts of the West/Central
Gulf Coast through Wednesday and rain over parts of the Lower
Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast Wednesday into
Thursday.
Elsewhere, upper-level ridging will create stagnant air conditions
over parts of the Pacific Northwest, leading to areas of dense fog
and poor air quality. However, an approaching front over the
Eastern Pacific will usher moisture into the Pacific Northwest,
creating light rain over parts of the Northwest Coast Wednesday
night into Thursday. Furthermore, a High Wind Watch will be in
effect over parts of the Northern Rockies through late Tuesday
morning.
Ziegenfelder
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
253 AM EST Tue Dec 03 2024
Valid 12Z Tue Dec 03 2024 – 12Z Thu Dec 05 2024
…Heavy snow for the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern
Lower Peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday…
…Lake-effect and lake-enhanced snow downwind from Lakes Erie and
Ontario on Tuesday and Wednesday; Moderate to heavy snow over
parts of Northern New England; light to moderate snow over parts
of the Central Appalachians on Wednesday…
…Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees below average over parts
of the Ohio Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Southeast…
On Tuesday, high pressure over the Middle Mississippi Valley will
slowly move southeastward off the Southeast Coast by Wednesday
night. The high pressure will create cold temperatures over parts
of the Ohio Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Southeast, bringing
temperatures of 10 to 15 degrees below average.
Meanwhile, low pressure over West-Central Canada will move
southeastward to Quebec, Canada, by Thursday. The storm will
produce heavy snow over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the
northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan through Thursday. Moreover,
lake-effect snow will continue downwind from Lakes Erie and
Ontario on Tuesday. Them on Wednesday, moderate to heavy
lake-enhanced snow develops downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario
through Thursday.
Furthermore, light snow will develop over parts of the Northern
Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley Tuesday through Thursday.
Moreover, as the front moves over the Ohio Valley into the
Northeast/Mid-Atlantic, light to moderate snow will develop over
parts of the Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians on Wednesday
into Thursday. Additionally, moderate to heavy snow will develop
over parts of Northern New England on Wednesday. Light to moderate
snow will develop over other parts of Southern New England and the
Northeast. Rain will also develop over the coastal parts of New
England.
Moreover, weak return flow off the Gulf of Mexico will create
scattered showers and thunderstorms over parts of the West/Central
Gulf Coast through Wednesday and rain over parts of the Lower
Mississippi/Tennessee Valleys and Southeast Wednesday into
Thursday.
Elsewhere, upper-level ridging will create stagnant air conditions
over parts of the Pacific Northwest, leading to areas of dense fog
and poor air quality. However, an approaching front over the
Eastern Pacific will usher moisture into the Pacific Northwest,
creating light rain over parts of the Northwest Coast Wednesday
night into Thursday. Furthermore, a High Wind Watch will be in
effect over parts of the Northern Rockies through late Tuesday
morning.
Ziegenfelder
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$
WPC Extended Range Forecast
Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
216 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Dec 06 2024 – 12Z Tue Dec 10 2024
..,Return flow may fuel emerging rainfall from the west-central
Gulf Coast to the Appalachians this weekend to early next week…
…Guidance/Predictability Assessment…
Leaned on recent ECMWF/UKMET and trends from GEFS/ECMWF ensembles
that hold main rainfall development closer to the west-central
Gulf coastal regions late week until later weekend/early next week
breakout up through the Appalachians. Inland QPF developemt is
delayed compared to recent GFS/Canadian runs and the NBM. Across
the nation, it is noteable that recent deterministic model
guidance forecast spread and cycle to cycle continuity issues arise
earlier than normal into the medium range time scales, lowering
forecast confidence from the weekend into next week despite some
common transition of the larger scale pattern. Accordingly, opted
to pivot broadly toward a more compatible and run stable
GEFS/ECMWF ensemble mean blend along with the National Blend of
Models to maintain feasible WPC continuity amid uncertainty.
…Weather/Hazards Highlights…
Arctic air that has persisted over the east-central U.S. will
moderate this weekend as amplified upper troughing finally lifts
out, but not before renewed lake effect and broader southern
Canada to northern Northeast snows with windy clipper passage.
Meanwhile, moist return flow from the Gulf of Mexico with
retreating high pressure will support emerging enhanced rain
chances set to spread from the west-central Gulf Coast states up
through the Appalachians this weekend into early next week, albeit
with uncertainty on the timing and inland extent of the rain. No
threat areas are currently denoted on the WPC Day 4/5 (Fri-Sat) Excessive
Rainfall Outlook areas, but this is predicated on ample variances
in flow transition and with a notion that heavier inland focus may
be delayed into later weekend/early next week as aided by uncertain
southern stream upper energy ejection from the Southwest/Baja and
effect of possible wavy approach of early next week cold front.
Upstream, moderate to terrain enhanced precipitation will develop
this weekend over the Pacific Northwest with energetic upper trough
passage and lead moisture feed. Terrain enhanced snows will spread
across the Northwest to the north-central Rockies with system and
unsettling cold frontal passage over the West into next week.
Schichtel
Additional 3-7 Day Hazard information can be found on the WPC medium
range hazards outlook chart at:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/threats.php
WPC medium range 500mb heights, surface systems, weather grids,
quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), excessive rainfall
outlook (ERO), winter weather outlook (WWO) probabilities, heat
indices, and Key Messages can be accessed from:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst500_wbg.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg_conus.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/5km_grids/5km_gridsbody.html
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-7.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=4
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heat_index.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ovw
$$
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
216 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Valid 12Z Fri Dec 06 2024 – 12Z Tue Dec 10 2024
..,Return flow may fuel emerging rainfall from the west-central
Gulf Coast to the Appalachians this weekend to early next week…
…Guidance/Predictability Assessment…
Leaned on recent ECMWF/UKMET and trends from GEFS/ECMWF ensembles
that hold main rainfall development closer to the west-central
Gulf coastal regions late week until later weekend/early next week
breakout up through the Appalachians. Inland QPF developemt is
delayed compared to recent GFS/Canadian runs and the NBM. Across
the nation, it is noteable that recent deterministic model
guidance forecast spread and cycle to cycle continuity issues arise
earlier than normal into the medium range time scales, lowering
forecast confidence from the weekend into next week despite some
common transition of the larger scale pattern. Accordingly, opted
to pivot broadly toward a more compatible and run stable
GEFS/ECMWF ensemble mean blend along with the National Blend of
Models to maintain feasible WPC continuity amid uncertainty.
…Weather/Hazards Highlights…
Arctic air that has persisted over the east-central U.S. will
moderate this weekend as amplified upper troughing finally lifts
out, but not before renewed lake effect and broader southern
Canada to northern Northeast snows with windy clipper passage.
Meanwhile, moist return flow from the Gulf of Mexico with
retreating high pressure will support emerging enhanced rain
chances set to spread from the west-central Gulf Coast states up
through the Appalachians this weekend into early next week, albeit
with uncertainty on the timing and inland extent of the rain. No
threat areas are currently denoted on the WPC Day 4/5 (Fri-Sat) Excessive
Rainfall Outlook areas, but this is predicated on ample variances
in flow transition and with a notion that heavier inland focus may
be delayed into later weekend/early next week as aided by uncertain
southern stream upper energy ejection from the Southwest/Baja and
effect of possible wavy approach of early next week cold front.
Upstream, moderate to terrain enhanced precipitation will develop
this weekend over the Pacific Northwest with energetic upper trough
passage and lead moisture feed. Terrain enhanced snows will spread
across the Northwest to the north-central Rockies with system and
unsettling cold frontal passage over the West into next week.
Schichtel
Additional 3-7 Day Hazard information can be found on the WPC medium
range hazards outlook chart at:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/threats.php
WPC medium range 500mb heights, surface systems, weather grids,
quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), excessive rainfall
outlook (ERO), winter weather outlook (WWO) probabilities, heat
indices, and Key Messages can be accessed from:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst500_wbg.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg_conus.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/5km_grids/5km_gridsbody.html
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-7.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ero
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=4
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/heat_index.shtml
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=ovw
$$
Day 3 |
Day 4 |
Day 5 |
Day 6 |
Day 7 |
 |
OPC Prog Charts – 500 mb
24 Hr |
48 Hr |
72 Hr |
96 Hr |
OPC Prog Charts – Surface
24 Hr |
48 Hr |
72 Hr |
96 Hr |
Satellite
 |
 |
 |
 |
SPC Convective Outlook
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4-8 |
Current Warnings/Watches & Discussions
SPC |
WPC |
Rain
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4 |
Day 5 |
5 Day Cummulative |
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
Day 4 |
Outlook
Temperatures
 |
 |
Marine Forecasts
Coastal Forecast
Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Tidal Potomac River and Maryland portion of Chesapeake Bay.
Forecasts of wave heights do not include effects of wind direction
relative to tidal currents. Expect higher waves when winds are
blowing against the tidal flow.
ANZ500-032100-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND MD PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY…
High pressure will briefly build in from the mid-Mississippi and
Ohio River Valleys through mid-week. A potent cold front pushes
across the waters on Thursday morning while Canadian high pressure
approaches from the west by Friday before settling to the southwest
over the weekend. Small Craft Advisories will very likely need to be
extended into Wednesday and eventually through the end of the week.
Gale force winds are possible on Thursday into Friday morning with
Small Craft Conditions likely again into Friday night.
$$
ANZ535-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves
1 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…S winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and
afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A
chance of snow showers.
.THU…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.FRI…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ536-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves
1 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt…becoming W 5 kt after midnight. Waves
1 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ537-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island to Smith Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ530-032100-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ531-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ538-032100-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt… becoming S with
gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
$$
ANZ539-032100-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ532-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ540-032100-
Eastern Bay-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ533-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 20 to
25 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ541-032100-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ542-032100-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt until early
morning. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S with
gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ534-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point to Smith Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves
3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt until early
morning. Waves 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 5 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt…diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves
3 ft…subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft.
$$
ANZ543-032100-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt until early
morning. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt…diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Tidal Potomac River and Maryland portion of Chesapeake Bay.
Forecasts of wave heights do not include effects of wind direction
relative to tidal currents. Expect higher waves when winds are
blowing against the tidal flow.
ANZ500-032100-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND MD PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY…
High pressure will briefly build in from the mid-Mississippi and
Ohio River Valleys through mid-week. A potent cold front pushes
across the waters on Thursday morning while Canadian high pressure
approaches from the west by Friday before settling to the southwest
over the weekend. Small Craft Advisories will very likely need to be
extended into Wednesday and eventually through the end of the week.
Gale force winds are possible on Thursday into Friday morning with
Small Craft Conditions likely again into Friday night.
$$
ANZ535-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves
1 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…S winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and
afternoon. Waves 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A
chance of snow showers.
.THU…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.FRI…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ536-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves
1 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt…becoming W 5 kt after midnight. Waves
1 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ537-032100-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island to Smith Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ530-032100-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ531-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ538-032100-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.TONIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt… becoming S with
gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A
chance of snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
$$
ANZ539-032100-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ532-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ540-032100-
Eastern Bay-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 10 kt after midnight. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ533-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 20 to
25 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ541-032100-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S 15 to
20 kt with gusts to 30 kt late. Waves 1 ft…building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft. A
chance of showers.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 4 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt…becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight.
Waves 2 to 3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ542-032100-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt until early
morning. Waves 1 ft.
.WED…SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt… becoming S with
gusts to 25 kt late. Waves 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance
of snow and rain showers.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
ANZ534-032100-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point to Smith Point-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves
3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt until early
morning. Waves 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 5 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt…diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves
3 ft…subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft.
$$
ANZ543-032100-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-
1121 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT…
…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.REST OF TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt until early
morning. Waves 2 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt…becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts to
30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft… building to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Waves 3 ft. A chance
of rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Waves 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt…diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft…subsiding to 1 ft after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
$$
Coastal Waters Forecast for Virginia
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Virginia Portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Currituck Sound and
Atlantic Coastal Waters from Fenwick Island DE to Currituck Beach
Light NC out 20 nautical miles
ANZ600-032315-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.Synopsis for Fenwick Island DE to Currituck Beach Light NC out 20
nautical miles including Virginia portion of the Chesapeake Bay,
Currituck Sound and portions of the James, York, and Rappahannock
Rivers…
Elevated northwest winds continue today. Intense low pressure
moves from the upper Great Lakes to New England Wednesday through
Thursday night, bringing strong winds to the local waters. High
pressure slowly builds into the region next weekend.
$$
ANZ630-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Windmill Point VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ631-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2
to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft
in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ632-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
3 to 4 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
3 to 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ634-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including
the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wave Detail: NW 2 ft at 4 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: NW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: NW 2 ft
at 4 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt
after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave
Detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: W 4 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 2 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
$$
ANZ650-032315-
Coastal waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chincoteague VA out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: NW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 4 seconds and N 1 foot at 4 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft after
midnight. Wave Detail: S 7 ft at 9 seconds and S 6 ft at
6 seconds, becoming S 9 ft at 8 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 7 to
9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft in the afternoon. Wave Detail: S 9 ft at 8 seconds,
becoming S 7 ft at 8 seconds and W 6 ft at 5 seconds. A chance of
showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around
3 ft.
$$
ANZ652-032315-
Coastal waters from Chincoteague to Parramore Island VA out 20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 4 seconds and N 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft after
midnight. Wave Detail: S 7 ft at 6 seconds and SE 7 ft at
9 seconds, becoming S 9 ft at 7 seconds.
.THU…W winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to
8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft. Wave Detail: SW 8 ft at 6 seconds. A
chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ654-032315-
Coastal waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 4 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and N 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft,
occasionally to 10 ft after midnight. Wave Detail: S 6 ft at
5 seconds and SE 6 ft at 9 seconds, becoming S 8 ft at 7 seconds
and E 1 foot at 12 seconds.
.THU…W winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally to
9 ft. Wave Detail: SW 7 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers in
the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt
after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft,
occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ656-032315-
Coastal Waters from Cape Charles Light to Virginia-
North Carolina border out to 20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 5 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 5 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 3 seconds and NE 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 5 seconds
and NE 1 foot at 5 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 to
6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: SW 5 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft,
occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ658-032315-
Coastal waters from NC VA border to Currituck Beach Light NC out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 5 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 6 seconds and SW 2 ft at 3 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 5 seconds
and N 2 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds and
E 1 foot at 12 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally
to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
3 ft.
$$
ANZ633-032315-
Currituck Sound-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after
midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to around 1 foot after
midnight.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 10 to 15 kt with gusts up
to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to
1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing to 1 to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ635-032315-
Rappahannock River from Urbanna to Windmill Point-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to 1
to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ636-032315-
York River-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to 1
to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing
to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ637-032315-
James River from Jamestown to the James River Bridge-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to
1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing to 1 to 2 ft after
midnight.
.FRI…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…SW winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ638-032315-
James River from James River Bridge to Hampton Roads Bridge-
Tunnel-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
$$
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
Virginia Portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Currituck Sound and
Atlantic Coastal Waters from Fenwick Island DE to Currituck Beach
Light NC out 20 nautical miles
ANZ600-032315-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.Synopsis for Fenwick Island DE to Currituck Beach Light NC out 20
nautical miles including Virginia portion of the Chesapeake Bay,
Currituck Sound and portions of the James, York, and Rappahannock
Rivers…
Elevated northwest winds continue today. Intense low pressure
moves from the upper Great Lakes to New England Wednesday through
Thursday night, bringing strong winds to the local waters. High
pressure slowly builds into the region next weekend.
$$
ANZ630-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Windmill Point VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ631-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2
to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft
in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ632-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
3 to 4 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
3 to 4 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ634-032315-
Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including
the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wave Detail: NW 2 ft at 4 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: NW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: NW 2 ft
at 4 seconds and E 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt
after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave
Detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Waves 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: W 4 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 2 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
$$
ANZ650-032315-
Coastal waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chincoteague VA out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: NW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 4 seconds and N 1 foot at 4 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft after
midnight. Wave Detail: S 7 ft at 9 seconds and S 6 ft at
6 seconds, becoming S 9 ft at 8 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 7 to
9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft in the afternoon. Wave Detail: S 9 ft at 8 seconds,
becoming S 7 ft at 8 seconds and W 6 ft at 5 seconds. A chance of
showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around
3 ft.
$$
ANZ652-032315-
Coastal waters from Chincoteague to Parramore Island VA out 20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 4 seconds and N 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally
to 9 ft, building to 7 to 9 ft, occasionally to 11 ft after
midnight. Wave Detail: S 7 ft at 6 seconds and SE 7 ft at
9 seconds, becoming S 9 ft at 7 seconds.
.THU…W winds 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to
8 ft, occasionally to 10 ft. Wave Detail: SW 8 ft at 6 seconds. A
chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ654-032315-
Coastal waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 4 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to
30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and N 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft,
occasionally to 10 ft after midnight. Wave Detail: S 6 ft at
5 seconds and SE 6 ft at 9 seconds, becoming S 8 ft at 7 seconds
and E 1 foot at 12 seconds.
.THU…W winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, occasionally to
9 ft. Wave Detail: SW 7 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers in
the morning.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt
after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft,
occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ656-032315-
Coastal Waters from Cape Charles Light to Virginia-
North Carolina border out to 20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 5 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 5 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 3 seconds and NE 2 ft at 5 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 5 seconds
and NE 1 foot at 5 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 5 to
6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: SW 5 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt,
diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft,
occasionally to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
$$
ANZ658-032315-
Coastal waters from NC VA border to Currituck Beach Light NC out
20 nm-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and
SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: N
3 ft at 5 seconds and SE 1 foot at 9 seconds.
.WED…W winds 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
Wave Detail: N 3 ft at 6 seconds and SW 2 ft at 3 seconds.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 5 seconds
and N 2 ft at 6 seconds.
.THU…W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: S 5 ft at 6 seconds and
E 1 foot at 12 seconds.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally
to 5 ft.
.SAT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
3 ft.
$$
ANZ633-032315-
Currituck Sound-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after
midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to around 1 foot after
midnight.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 10 to 15 kt with gusts up
to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to
1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing to 1 to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves
1 to 2 ft.
$$
ANZ635-032315-
Rappahannock River from Urbanna to Windmill Point-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to 1
to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ636-032315-
York River-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to 1
to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing
to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft,
diminishing to around 1 foot after midnight.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ637-032315-
James River from Jamestown to the James River Bridge-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.WED…SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts
up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot, increasing to
1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
after midnight. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing to 1 to 2 ft after
midnight.
.FRI…NW winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT…SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…SW winds 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
$$
ANZ638-032315-
James River from James River Bridge to Hampton Roads Bridge-
Tunnel-
559 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED…W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt with gusts up
to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.THU…W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to
3 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
2 to 3 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt,
diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.SAT…W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 foot.
$$
Offshore Forecast – Atlantic
Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ899-040245-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS…A weak area of low pressure will
move NE across the S waters today. High pressure will build
towards the area today into Wed, then move E and SE of the area
Wed night as a strong cold front approaches. The front will move
across the area Thu and Thu night. High pressure will build
towards the waters Fri into Sat, then shift to the SE waters Sat
night as a cold front moves into the N waters.
$$
ANZ820-040245-
Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon to 1000 FM-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.WED…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft, building to
9 to 14 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas
3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ915-040245-
Between 1000FM and 38.5 N west of 69 W-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers or snow showers.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 14 ft.
.THU…SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W 35 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to
23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 22 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ920-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to 69W east of 1000 FM and south of 38.5N to
250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 14 ft. Showers.
.THU…SW winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W. Seas 14 to 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 13 to 22 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ905-040245-
East of 69W to the Hague Line between 1000 FM and 39N-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Chance of rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to
6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…S to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to
30 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. Scattered showers.
.THU…S to SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W. Seas 9 to 15 ft,
building to 13 to 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 17 to 23 ft.
.FRI…W winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
$$
ANZ910-040245-
East of 69W and south of 39N to 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming SW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 4 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 9 ft. Showers.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft, building to
16 to 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 15 to 24 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
ANZ825-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to Cape Charles Light to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.WED…W to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
$$
ANZ828-040245-
Cape Charles Light to Currituck Beach Light to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Scattered
showers or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…N to NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED…NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming SW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ925-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to Hatteras Canyon between 100 NM and 250 NM
offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming NW 15 to 20 kt. Seas
6 to 10 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 13 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W to NW winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming NW 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to
9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ830-040245-
Currituck Beach Light to Cape Hatteras to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Scattered
showers.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Chance of rain.
.WED…NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW 10 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 6 to 10 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ833-040245-
Cape Hatteras to Cape Fear to 100 NM Offshore.-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.WED…N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 9 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT…N to NW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt.
Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NW 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ930-040245-
Hatteras Canyon to Cape Fear between 100 NM and 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Chance of
rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain.
.WED…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT…N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 5 to 15 kt.
Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ835-040245-
Cape Fear to 31N to 1000 FM-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED…N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W to SW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt.
Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT…N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ935-040245-
Cape Fear to 31N east of 1000 FM to 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…W to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N to NW 15 to
25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. Chance of rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.WED…N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N to NW. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 10 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt. Seas
7 to 13 ft.
.FRI…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…N to NW winds less than 10 kt, becoming W to NW.
Seas 4 to 6 ft.
$$
.Forecaster Achorn. Ocean Prediction Center.
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ899-040245-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS FOR MID ATLC WATERS…A weak area of low pressure will
move NE across the S waters today. High pressure will build
towards the area today into Wed, then move E and SE of the area
Wed night as a strong cold front approaches. The front will move
across the area Thu and Thu night. High pressure will build
towards the waters Fri into Sat, then shift to the SE waters Sat
night as a cold front moves into the N waters.
$$
ANZ820-040245-
Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon to 1000 FM-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.WED…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft, building to
9 to 14 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas
3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ915-040245-
Between 1000FM and 38.5 N west of 69 W-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers or snow showers.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 14 ft.
.THU…SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W 35 to 45 kt. Seas 14 to
23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 22 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ920-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to 69W east of 1000 FM and south of 38.5N to
250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 14 ft. Showers.
.THU…SW winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W. Seas 14 to 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 13 to 22 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ905-040245-
East of 69W to the Hague Line between 1000 FM and 39N-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Chance of rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to
6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…S to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to
30 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. Scattered showers.
.THU…S to SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W. Seas 9 to 15 ft,
building to 13 to 22 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 17 to 23 ft.
.FRI…W winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
$$
ANZ910-040245-
East of 69W and south of 39N to 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming SW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 4 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 9 ft. Showers.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft, building to
16 to 23 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 30 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 15 to 24 ft.
.FRI…W to NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
ANZ825-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to Cape Charles Light to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. Scattered showers
or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.WED…W to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming SW 15 to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 30 to 40 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
$$
ANZ828-040245-
Cape Charles Light to Currituck Beach Light to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Scattered
showers or snow showers.
.TONIGHT…N to NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED…NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming SW 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming W to NW 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ925-040245-
Baltimore Canyon to Hatteras Canyon between 100 NM and 250 NM
offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming NW 15 to 20 kt. Seas
6 to 10 ft. Rain.
.WED…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft, building to 8 to 13 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 21 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W to NW winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming NW 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to
9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ830-040245-
Currituck Beach Light to Cape Hatteras to 100 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Scattered
showers.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Chance of rain.
.WED…NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW 10 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt.
Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 6 to 10 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SAT…NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ833-040245-
Cape Hatteras to Cape Fear to 100 NM Offshore.-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.WED…N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 9 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT…N to NW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt.
Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
5 to 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NW 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ930-040245-
Hatteras Canyon to Cape Fear between 100 NM and 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE WARNING…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Chance of
rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain.
.WED…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt.
Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.FRI…NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT…N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 5 to 15 kt.
Seas 4 to 7 ft.
$$
ANZ835-040245-
Cape Fear to 31N to 1000 FM-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…N to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED…N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W to SW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU…W winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming N 10 to 20 kt.
Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI…N winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to
8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.SAT…N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
ANZ935-040245-
Cape Fear to 31N east of 1000 FM to 250 NM offshore-
945 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
…GALE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE THU…
.TODAY…W to NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming N to NW 15 to
25 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. Chance of rain.
.TONIGHT…N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain.
.WED…N winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming N to NW. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…SW winds 10 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.THU…W to SW winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT…W winds 20 to 30 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt. Seas
7 to 13 ft.
.FRI…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SAT…N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT…N to NW winds less than 10 kt, becoming W to NW.
Seas 4 to 6 ft.
$$
.Forecaster Achorn. Ocean Prediction Center.
NHC Outlook
7 Day Outlook
No active tropical cyclones.
Outlook
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Discussion
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Dec 3 2024
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
…MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ…
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W, then transitions to the ITCZ near 05N15W.
The ITCZ continues west-southwestward to 00N48W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 05N between 10W and
12W.
GULF OF MEXICO…
A trough persists along 95W over the western Gulf of Mexico.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along the northern
portion of the trough, from 25N to 26N between 94W an 96W. A
scatterometer satellite pass from around 03 UTC indicated fresh to
strong winds across the southeast and south-central Gulf. This is
south of 1037 mb high pressure centered over the central plains.
Seas are 5 to 7 ft south of 25N, with seas to 8 ft near the
Yucatan Channel. Seas north of 25N 2 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, the high pressure will build over the
southeastern United States and maintain fresh to strong NE to E
winds over the S Gulf through tonight. Fresh to strong SE return
flow will set up in the western Gulf late today through Wed night,
accompanied by rough seas numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Looking ahead, a weak cold front will reach the northern Gulf
coast Thu afternoon, but will have only moderate to fresh NE winds
associated with it.
CARIBBEAN SEA…
A scatterometer satellite pass from around 03 UTC indicated fresh
to strong NE winds over the northwestern Caribbean and across the
Windward Passage, between strong high pressure well north of the
region, and lower pressure over Colombia. Fresh to strong NE to E
winds are also noted off Colombia, and the convergence of these
winds are supporting scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms along the monsoon trough off Panama and Costa Rica,
and between Jamaica and northeastern Nicaragua. Moderate to rough
seas are evident across the northwest Caribbean and moderate seas
elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure building north of the region will
support fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough seas
over most of the northwest Caribbean and Windward Passage through
mid week. The high pressure will weaken and shift eastward Thu,
allowing winds and seas to diminish, although fresh to strong NE
winds will persist south of Cuba and near Grand Cayman through Fri
night. Farther south, fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough
seas will pulse off Colombia into Sat.
ATLANTIC OCEAN…
A few showers and thunderstorms are evident within 60 nm east of
a weak cold front reaches from 31N58W to 24N68W. A few
thunderstorms are active off the north coast of Hispaniola, and
at the base of a trough from the front to the north coast of
Haiti. Farther west, reinforcing cold front extends from Bermuda
to the northern Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are noted
ahead of the first front, with 6 to 8 ft seas north of 28N.
Moderate to fresh northerly winds are noted west of the front,
with 5 to 7 ft seas elsewhere west of 60W. Farther east, the
pattern is dominated by 1031 mb high pressure near the Azores.
This pattern is supporting mostly fresh to strong NE to E winds
to the east of 60W along with 6 to 9 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will merge and reach
from 31N55W to eastern Cuba by late today, from 28N55W to northeast
Hispaniola by late Wed, then stall and weaken through Fri. Fresh
to strong and rough seas will follow the front south of 22N
through mid week. A trough will follow the reinforcing front
between northeast Florida and Bermuda through Wed, followed by
fresh to strong winds and rough seas in NW swell, north of 26N.
High pressure will build across the waters north of 26N Thu, ahead
of another cold front off northeast Florida. Looking ahead, the
front will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by Fri
night, and from 31N55W to central Cuba by late Sat.
$$
Christensen
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Dec 3 2024
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
…MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ…
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean through the coast of
Liberia near 06N10W, then transitions to the ITCZ near 05N15W.
The ITCZ continues west-southwestward to 00N48W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 05N between 10W and
12W.
GULF OF MEXICO…
A trough persists along 95W over the western Gulf of Mexico.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along the northern
portion of the trough, from 25N to 26N between 94W an 96W. A
scatterometer satellite pass from around 03 UTC indicated fresh to
strong winds across the southeast and south-central Gulf. This is
south of 1037 mb high pressure centered over the central plains.
Seas are 5 to 7 ft south of 25N, with seas to 8 ft near the
Yucatan Channel. Seas north of 25N 2 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, the high pressure will build over the
southeastern United States and maintain fresh to strong NE to E
winds over the S Gulf through tonight. Fresh to strong SE return
flow will set up in the western Gulf late today through Wed night,
accompanied by rough seas numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Looking ahead, a weak cold front will reach the northern Gulf
coast Thu afternoon, but will have only moderate to fresh NE winds
associated with it.
CARIBBEAN SEA…
A scatterometer satellite pass from around 03 UTC indicated fresh
to strong NE winds over the northwestern Caribbean and across the
Windward Passage, between strong high pressure well north of the
region, and lower pressure over Colombia. Fresh to strong NE to E
winds are also noted off Colombia, and the convergence of these
winds are supporting scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms along the monsoon trough off Panama and Costa Rica,
and between Jamaica and northeastern Nicaragua. Moderate to rough
seas are evident across the northwest Caribbean and moderate seas
elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure building north of the region will
support fresh to strong NE winds and rough to very rough seas
over most of the northwest Caribbean and Windward Passage through
mid week. The high pressure will weaken and shift eastward Thu,
allowing winds and seas to diminish, although fresh to strong NE
winds will persist south of Cuba and near Grand Cayman through Fri
night. Farther south, fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough
seas will pulse off Colombia into Sat.
ATLANTIC OCEAN…
A few showers and thunderstorms are evident within 60 nm east of
a weak cold front reaches from 31N58W to 24N68W. A few
thunderstorms are active off the north coast of Hispaniola, and
at the base of a trough from the front to the north coast of
Haiti. Farther west, reinforcing cold front extends from Bermuda
to the northern Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are noted
ahead of the first front, with 6 to 8 ft seas north of 28N.
Moderate to fresh northerly winds are noted west of the front,
with 5 to 7 ft seas elsewhere west of 60W. Farther east, the
pattern is dominated by 1031 mb high pressure near the Azores.
This pattern is supporting mostly fresh to strong NE to E winds
to the east of 60W along with 6 to 9 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will merge and reach
from 31N55W to eastern Cuba by late today, from 28N55W to northeast
Hispaniola by late Wed, then stall and weaken through Fri. Fresh
to strong and rough seas will follow the front south of 22N
through mid week. A trough will follow the reinforcing front
between northeast Florida and Bermuda through Wed, followed by
fresh to strong winds and rough seas in NW swell, north of 26N.
High pressure will build across the waters north of 26N Thu, ahead
of another cold front off northeast Florida. Looking ahead, the
front will reach from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by Fri
night, and from 31N55W to central Cuba by late Sat.
$$
Christensen
0-168 hr
0-48 hr |
0-120 hr |
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|
0-120hr Verification This Season
Atmospheric Relative Humidity
Shear Support
Mid Atmospheric Winds
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Waves
Annapolis
Gooses Reef
Potomac
Stingray Point
York Spit
First Landing
East Hatteras (Offshore)
ASCAT B
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ASCAT C
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Links
- NWS National Offices
- Coastal Marine Text by Zone
- Offshore Marine Text by Zone
- Atlantic High Seas Forecast
- Weather Nerds Model Viewer
- Tropical Tidbits
- GFS
- ECMWF
- GEFS
- EPS
8/24 1907